Ann Kirkpatrick may be able to prevail with some luck and a big Democratic turnout.

Politico just reviewed the race between Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick and Senator John McCain.  She is in a tough senatorial race with McCain in a traditionally red state.  Although Kirkpatrick is a moderate with the right tickets to appeal to some Republicans, she will need a strong showing by Clinton in the state, a great voter registration drive by Democrats, and some cross-over voting by moderate Republicans who do not support Donald Trump.