Polls for Obama Surge! National Tracking Polls show 6% to 10% Edge
Today’s crop of national polls show Obama leads from 6% to 10% depending on the pollster. State polls in Florida, Virginia, North Carolina and Ohio show big gains for Obama. Republicans are upset.
Poll:Obama Takes 7-point lead over McCain
Associated Press, October 1st, 2008
WASHINGTON – Barack Obama has surged to a seven-point lead over John McCain one month before the presidential election, lifted by voters who think the Democrat is better suited to lead the nation through its sudden financial crisis, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that underscores the mounting concerns of some McCain backers.
Likely voters now back Obama 48-41 percent over McCain, a dramatic shift from an AP-GfK survey that gave the Republican a slight edge nearly three weeks ago, before Wall Street collapsed and sent ripples across worldwide markets. On top of that, unrelated surveys show Obama beating McCain in several battlegrounds, including Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania — three states critical in the state-by-state fight for the presidency.
Several GOP strategists close to McCain’s campaign privately fret that his chances for victory are starting to slip away.
These Republicans, speaking on condition of anonymity to avoid angering the campaign, point to several factors: Obama’s gains nationally and in traditionally GOP states, no McCain gain from the first debate, McCain’s struggles with economic issues as the financial crisis has unfolded and deepening public skepticism about his Sarah Palin.
They said McCain’s options for shaking up the race are essentially limited to game-changing performances in the final presidential debates or in Palin’s vice presidential debate with Joe Biden Thursday night. Short of that, they said, McCain can do little but hope Obama stumbles or an outside event breaks the GOP nominee’s way.
Democrats hope Obama is starting to build a lasting lead. Click here to read more of the Associated Press story.
Meanwhile, Fivethirtyeight.com, a website dedicated to analyizing state and national polls is now forecasting and electoral vote of 336 votes for Senator Obama to only 202 votes for John McCain. That would give Obama the election with near-landside proportions. Several individual state polls carried on the site today are worthy of notice.
Florida +7% Obama
Virginia +7% Obama
North Carolina +2% Obama
Ohio +7% Obama
Click here for a link to Fivethirtyeight.com
Here are some more polls. Daily Kos, Gallup, Real Clear Politics, try some you’ll like them.


