Obama Expected to Surge in Polls; Currently Ahead on Electoral Votes
Posted by: Your Editor
From time to time, we will sample Presidential Polling totals to keep our readers up to date.
Now that the Democratic primary contest has been settled, the winner, (Barack Obama, in this case) is expected to get a surge in “popularity.” This is a normal process which has more to do with how people react to news than anything else. The surge may or may not be temporary.
It is important that we Democrats do not slacken our enthusiasm or volunteer efforts merely because polls show our candidate is ahead. It is a long hard road to November. Yes the signs are good; but we cannot afford to relax our guard. By all estimates, this will be the dirtiest election in American politics and we can expect the Republicans to distort facts, evade responsibility and play attack politics.
In the meantime, polls show that Barack Obama is leading or firmly ahead in the prospective Electoral Vote count. Bear in mind that 267 votes are needed to become President of the United States.
President Polls 2008 is a website that keeps track of individual state polling data and combines this information with historical voting trends. Based on current data from Presidential Polls 2008, as of June 8,2008, it appears that Barack Obama is leading in states that have 303 Electoral Votes and John McCain is leading in states having 235 Electoral votes.
Here is another website that keeps track of historical voting trends and current polling data. Today, June 7, 2008, this site is showing Barack Obama leading in 287 Electoral Votes versus 227 Electoral Votes for John McCain and 24 Electoral Votes in 2 states where the candidates are effectively tied.
We suggest that you keep these sites in your “Favorites” list and check them periodically. As the campaign season picks up we will keep these numbers posted in a box on the upper right hand of your screen.
Finally a Comment About Arizona: Currently Arizona appears to be a strong McCain state as it well should be. After all this is his home state, even if he got less than 50% of the REPULICAN vote in the primary election in February. The latest polls indicate that McCain is ahead of Obama by a solid 11%. This does not mean that McCain has coat-tails; in fact we expect that Arizona is turning purple.